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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
49.61% ( -3.01) | 22.04% ( -0.02) | 28.34% ( 3.03) |
| Both teams to score 65% ( 2.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% ( 2.67) | 34.7% ( -2.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% ( 2.93) | 56.65% ( -2.93) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( -0.04) | 14.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.71% ( -0.07) | 42.29% ( 0.07) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( 3.49) | 24.07% ( -3.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.65% ( 4.73) | 58.35% ( -4.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.96)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.94)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.62)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.3)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.41)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.49)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.48)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.34% |
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