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Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FS

AZ
4 - 0
Sittard

Clasie (45+1'), Pavlidis (49'), Siovas (82' og.), Dantas (88')
de Wit (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (24'), Siovas (35'), Duarte (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Sittard
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

Aiming to bounce back from a first setback of the season in midweek, we see AZ Alkmaar being far too strong for Sunday's visitors and making a return to winning ways in dominant fashion on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
74.63% (0.456 0.46) 15.16% (-0.218 -0.22) 10.22% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95% (0.369 0.37)32.05% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.38% (0.429 0.43)53.62% (-0.426 -0.43)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.179 0.18)7.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (0.46199999999999 0.46)26.3% (-0.46 -0.46)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.173 -0.17)41.53% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.152 -0.15)78.02% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 74.62%
    Fortuna Sittard 10.22%
    Draw 15.16%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.95% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.12% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.047 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 74.62%
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 3.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 AZ
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 AZ
Sunday, September 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Sittard
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Volendam
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Sittard
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, August 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie


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