PSV are averaging three goals at the Philips Stadion, and they should secure a comfortable home win against a Fortuna side that have lost their last two away games heavily without scoring.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 7.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
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