SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
54.71% ( 0.1) | 23.07% ( -0.01) | 22.23% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.06) | 45.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.05) | 67.6% ( 0.06) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% ( 0.02) | 16.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.89% ( 0.03) | 46.11% ( -0.03) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0.11) | 34.45% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( -0.12) | 71.16% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.23% |
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