SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
37.17% ( -1.09) | 26.67% ( 0.27) | 36.15% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -1.11) | 53.03% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.95) | 74.62% ( 0.95) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -1.14) | 27.6% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( -1.5) | 63.13% ( 1.49) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.04) | 28.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( -0.05) | 63.9% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.15% |
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