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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
36.63% ( -1) | 24.93% ( -0.05) | 38.44% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( 0.21) | 45.33% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( 0.21) | 67.66% ( -0.2) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.44) | 24.31% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( -0.62) | 58.7% ( 0.62) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.65) | 23.35% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( 0.93) | 57.32% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.44% |
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