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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
NL

Bala Town
1 - 1
Newtown

Smith (16')
Smith (20'), Harrison (28'), Mendes (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Robles (44' pen.)
Sears (50'), Williams (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-1 Bala Town
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
59.64% (1.593 1.59) 22.43% (-0.603 -0.6) 17.93% (-0.99 -0.99)
Both teams to score 49.93% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7% (1.025 1.03)48.3% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (0.932 0.93)70.45% (-0.932 -0.93)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.90000000000001 0.9)15.81% (-0.901 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (1.636 1.64)44.97% (-1.638 -1.64)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (-0.54 -0.54)40.7% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.487 -0.49)77.28% (0.486 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 59.63%
    Newtown AFC 17.93%
    Draw 22.42%
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 11.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.94% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.73% (0.324 0.32)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.206 0.21)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.12 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 59.63%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.338 -0.34)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-1 Bala Town
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 New Saints
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Newtown
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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