Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
59.64% ( 1.59) | 22.43% ( -0.6) | 17.93% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.7% ( 1.03) | 48.3% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.55% ( 0.93) | 70.45% ( -0.93) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( 0.9) | 15.81% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.03% ( 1.64) | 44.97% ( -1.64) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.3% ( -0.54) | 40.7% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% ( -0.49) | 77.28% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Bala Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.93% |
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