SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
32.91% ( 0.48) | 26.92% ( -0.11) | 40.17% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( 0.53) | 54.42% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.44) | 75.79% ( -0.45) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0.59) | 30.95% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( 0.69) | 67.24% ( -0.7) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( 0.05) | 26.57% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( 0.06) | 61.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.16% |
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