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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
68.13% ( 0.31) | 17.7% ( -0.14) | 14.17% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.34) | 33.9% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( 0.39) | 55.75% ( -0.38) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% ( 0.16) | 9.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.1% ( 0.38) | 30.9% ( -0.38) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.01) | 36.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( 0.01) | 73.34% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.79% Total : 68.13% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.7% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.17% |
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