Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
23.9% ( -0.44)	19.33% ( -0.16)	56.77% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 70.83% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.63% (

0.3)

25.37% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.6% (

0.39)

45.4% (

-0.39)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

-0.12)

21.94% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

-0.18)

55.22% (

0.18)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74% (

0.23)

9.26% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.7% (

0.55)

31.29% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 23.9%

Melbourne City 56.77%

Draw 19.33%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.9%	1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.33%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.47% Total : 56.77%