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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.83%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
31.21% ( 1.77) | 21.49% ( 0.08) | 47.29% ( -1.84) |
| Both teams to score 69.14% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.69) | 30.11% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.68% ( 0.83) | 51.32% ( -0.83) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 1.33) | 20.09% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% ( 2.09) | 52.33% ( -2.08) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( -0.33) | 13.47% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.52% ( -0.67) | 40.48% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.16)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.36)0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)3-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.29% |
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