Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough Sports | Draw | Alfreton Town |
30.7% ( -0.07) | 27.89% ( 0.02) | 41.4% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.12% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.37% ( -0.09) | 58.63% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.81% ( -0.07) | 79.18% ( 0.06) |
Peterborough Sports Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.32% ( -0.1) | 34.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% ( -0.1) | 71.4% ( 0.1) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( -0.02) | 27.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( -0.02) | 63.47% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough Sports | Draw | Alfreton Town |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.7% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.4% |
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