AFC Wimbledon are capable of picking up a positive result on Tuesday, but it is a huge ask against a talented Peterborough outfit. Ferguson's side are the favourites to progress to the semi-finals, and we are expecting them to triumph against their League Two opponents.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
