With both teams likely showing ambition to reach Wembley now that they have reached this stage, we expect full-strength sides to be named. However, that will only benefit Peterborough, who we think will record a relatively comfortable win on home territory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
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