With Portsmouth expected to beat a struggling Fleetwood Town at Highbury Stadium at the same time as this match, Peterborough will know they have to win this game to maintain the pressure on the league leaders. Based on the Posh's recent form and home record, we feel they will have little issue in claiming all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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