SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Atlanta United |
55.96% ( 0.02) | 22.55% ( -0.01) | 21.49% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.13% ( 0.02) | 43.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.74% ( 0.02) | 66.26% ( -0.01) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( 0.02) | 15.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( 0.03) | 44.43% ( -0.02) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0) | 34.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% ( -0.01) | 71.07% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.49% |
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