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Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
FC

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union and Cincinnati have enjoyed a solid campaign and find themselves in the upper echelons of the Eastern Conference table. The Union's home record in this fixture makes them slight favourites and we see them claiming all three points in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawFC Cincinnati
62.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)63.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)37.35% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.13% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.04%
    FC Cincinnati 17.32%
    Draw 20.63%
Philadelphia UnionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.81%
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 24 at 12am in US Open Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-0 Cincinnati
Monday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer


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