SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | CF Montreal |
55.86% ( 0.72) | 22.29% ( -0.33) | 21.85% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( 1.02) | 42.26% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( 1.02) | 64.67% ( -1.01) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.59) | 14.99% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 1.12) | 43.45% ( -1.12) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0.22) | 33.12% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( 0.24) | 69.72% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 21.85% |
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