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Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 at 12am UK
PPL Park
AU

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Atlanta

Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Bedoya (37'), Uhre (51'), Andres Martinez (83'), McGlynn (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gutman (24')
Pineda (17'), Sanchez (47'), Dwyer (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Atlanta United

Philadelphia Union look nearly unstoppable on their own turf, and they will be expected to take control of proceedings and get the job done. We are backing them to keep the juggernaut rolling with a relatively comfortable victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
58.29%22.14% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.57%
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49%73.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.29%
    Atlanta United 19.57%
    Draw 22.14%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.91%
3-1 @ 6.28%
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 58.29%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Colorado
Sunday, August 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-6 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Houston
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-2 DC United
Sunday, August 28 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, August 21 at 11.48pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, August 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Saturday, July 30 at 10pm in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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