Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
54.3% ( 0.23) | 22.31% ( -0.09) | 23.39% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.43% ( 0.28) | 40.57% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.05% ( 0.29) | 62.95% ( -0.28) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 0.17) | 14.92% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.69% ( 0.33) | 43.31% ( -0.32) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.04) | 30.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.9% ( 0.05) | 67.1% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.3% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.39% |
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