SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 34.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (6.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (19.26%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 19.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | San Lorenzo |
41.44% ( -0.07) | 34.12% ( -0.01) | 24.45% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 30.48% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 22.88% ( 0.04) | 77.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 8.54% ( 0.03) | 91.46% ( -0.02) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( -0.02) | 37.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( -0.02) | 74.52% ( 0.02) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.12) | 51.04% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.63% ( 0.08) | 85.37% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 18.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2% Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.44% | 0-0 @ 19.26% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 34.11% | 0-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.44% |
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