SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
34.48% ( -0.32) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 41% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.34) | 43.7% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( -0.34) | 66.09% ( 0.34) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.34) | 24.76% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( -0.48) | 59.32% ( 0.48) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -0.03) | 21.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( -0.04) | 54.36% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 41% |
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