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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
AW

Port Vale
3 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Cover (9'), Richards (11'), Stockley (62')
Debrah (19'), Stockley (64'), Lowe (75'), Baker-Boatiey (87'), Ripley (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Neufville (61'), Hippolyte (78')
Lewis (11'), Jackson (12')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawAFC Wimbledon
41.45% (-0.174 -0.17) 27.86% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 30.69% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.197 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48% (0.209 0.21)58.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9% (0.162 0.16)79.1% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)63.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.27199999999999 0.27)34.63% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.287 0.29)71.35% (-0.286 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.45%
    AFC Wimbledon 30.69%
    Draw 27.85%
Port ValeDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 41.45%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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