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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
PU

Port Vale
0 - 1
Peterborough


Garrity (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Peterborough United

Peterborough have picked up victories on their last two trips to Vale Park, and with the Valiants experiencing a poor run of form, we think that Posh will claim another away victory over Port Vale on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
34.93% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 24.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.25% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.14899999999999 0.15)45.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.144 0.14)67.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.11% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.477 0.48)59.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.161 -0.16)22.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.244 -0.24)55.77% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.94%
    Peterborough United 40.25%
    Draw 24.81%
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Newcastle U21s (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Peterborough (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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