SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
34.9% ( -0.32) | 27.06% ( 0.25) | 38.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( -1.04) | 54.66% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( -0.87) | 75.99% ( 0.87) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.71) | 29.77% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0.87) | 65.84% ( 0.87) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.45) | 27.87% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( -0.58) | 63.48% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.05% |
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