SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Manchester United |
61.19% ( 0.94) | 20.27% ( -0.04) | 18.54% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.35% ( -1.27) | 37.65% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.11% ( -1.37) | 59.89% ( 1.37) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( -0.13) | 11.9% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.77% ( -0.28) | 37.22% ( 0.28) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( -1.67) | 33.71% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( -1.86) | 70.36% ( 1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.46)1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 61.19% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.98% Total : 18.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
