Portsmouth will be reeling from their disappointing trip to Pride Park, but they can still have confidence from the fact that they are unbeaten in three matches at Fratton Park, and we think they will extend that run by holding Coventry to a draw in Saturday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
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