SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
63.51% ( -1.25) | 20.54% ( 0.73) | 15.95% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( -2.28) | 43.56% ( 2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( -2.28) | 65.95% ( 2.28) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( -1.05) | 13.06% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% ( -2.17) | 39.63% ( 2.18) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% ( -0.72) | 40.29% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% ( -0.66) | 76.91% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.64)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.13% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.95% |
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