Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
43.71% ( -1.48) | 22.63% ( 0.6) | 33.66% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 65.91% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.23% ( -2.7) | 34.77% ( 2.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.27% ( -3.09) | 56.73% ( 3.09) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.47% ( -1.61) | 16.53% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.71% ( -2.97) | 46.28% ( 2.97) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0.82) | 21.03% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( -1.29) | 53.82% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.71% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.77% Total : 33.66% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: