SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Girona |
66.07% ( -1.5) | 18.76% ( 0.87) | 15.17% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( -2.84) | 36.87% ( 2.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( -3.15) | 59.04% ( 3.14) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( -1.14) | 10.39% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.08% ( -2.63) | 33.92% ( 2.63) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.85% ( -1) | 37.15% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.06% ( -1) | 73.93% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Girona |
| 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.78)3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.27)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.88% Total : 66.07% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.17% |
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