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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.57%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
87.57% ( 0.33) | 8.3% ( -0.15) | 4.13% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.22) | 20.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.95% ( -0.31) | 39.05% ( 0.31) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.99% ( 0.01) | 3.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.43% ( 0.03) | 13.57% ( -0.03) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.97) | 48.46% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.44% ( -0.71) | 83.56% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 3-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.08)7-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)7-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.66% Total : 87.57% | 1-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 8.3% | 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 4.13% |
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