Leon have been notoriously slow starters domestically, and we expect to see a stalemate between two sides that may be a little timid going forward, given how poor they have each looked defensively in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Club Leon
31.05% ( -0.96)	24.26% ( -0.22)	44.69% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 58.76% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

0.59)

43.66% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

0.57)

66.05% (

-0.58)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.32)

26.82% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-0.42)

62.11% (

0.42)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

0.76)

19.7% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3% (

1.22)

51.7% (

-1.22)

Score Analysis

Puebla 31.05%

Club Leon 44.69%

Draw 24.25%

Puebla	Draw	Club Leon
2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.05%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.69%