These are two evenly matched sides, but Pumas have shown tremendous resilience this season, which should give them a psychological edge on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
38.11% ( 0.03)	26.28% ( -0)	35.6% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

-0)

51.43% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

73.24% (

-0)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

0.02)

26.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

0.02)

61.44% (

-0.02)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

-0.02)

27.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

-0.03)

63.34% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Pumas 38.11%

Pachuca 35.6%

Draw 26.27%

Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.11%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.6%