Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Toluca
43.24% ( -0.02)	24.03% ( -0)	32.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.36% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.11% (

0.03)

41.89% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.7% (

0.02)

64.3% (

-0.02)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4%

19.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

51.54% (

-0)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

0.03)

24.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

0.04)

59.55% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Pumas 43.24%

Toluca 32.73%

Draw 24.03%

Pumas	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.24%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.73%