SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
59.24% ( -0.88) | 21.62% ( 0.01) | 19.14% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( 1.31) | 42.95% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( 1.29) | 65.35% ( -1.29) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( 0.16) | 14.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.19% ( 0.3) | 41.8% ( -0.31) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( 1.72) | 36.2% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( 1.71) | 72.98% ( -1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.66% Total : 19.14% |
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