SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
46.17% ( -0.66) | 24.58% ( 0.26) | 29.25% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% ( -0.9) | 46% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( -0.86) | 68.31% ( 0.85) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( -0.64) | 20.01% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( -1.03) | 52.21% ( 1.04) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -0.17) | 29.2% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( -0.21) | 65.14% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.25% |
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