SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
40.29% ( -1.09) | 24.83% ( 0.4) | 34.87% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( -1.68) | 45.11% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( -1.64) | 67.46% ( 1.64) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -1.25) | 22.33% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.2% ( -1.91) | 55.8% ( 1.91) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.39) | 25.2% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -0.54) | 59.93% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Youth Island | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.47)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.87% |
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