Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
Result | ||
Racing Club | Draw | Tigre |
45.2% ( -0.3) | 26.75% ( -0.21) | 28.06% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 49.05% ( 0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% ( 1.06) | 55.52% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( 0.86) | 76.7% ( -0.86) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( 0.32) | 24.48% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% ( 0.45) | 58.93% ( -0.45) |
Tigre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% ( 0.98) | 35.05% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% ( 1.02) | 71.79% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Racing Club | Draw | Tigre |
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.06% |
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