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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Corinthians |
20.28% ( 0.52) | 25.62% ( -0.46) | 54.1% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.6% ( 2.1) | 57.4% ( -2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( 1.64) | 78.21% ( -1.64) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.67% ( 1.81) | 43.33% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.43% ( 1.48) | 79.57% ( -1.48) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 0.84) | 21.28% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( 1.28) | 54.21% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.28% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.76)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 14.26% ( -0.8) 0-2 @ 11.03% ( -0.33)1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.09% |
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