SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 41.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Danubio |
28.9% ( -0.2) | 29.69% ( 0.33) | 41.41% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.63% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.91% ( -1.06) | 65.09% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.05% ( -0.74) | 83.95% ( 0.74) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.76) | 39.63% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( -0.71) | 76.31% ( 0.71) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.61) | 31.04% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( -0.72) | 67.36% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.44% Total : 28.89% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.69% | 0-1 @ 14.39% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.41% |
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