SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.71%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
42.71% ( 0.42) | 30.33% ( 0.22) | 26.97% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 39.21% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.84) | 67.56% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.36% ( -0.57) | 85.64% ( 0.57) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( -0.2) | 31.57% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( -0.23) | 67.97% ( 0.23) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.3% ( -1.05) | 42.71% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.96% ( -0.91) | 79.04% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 15.54% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.71% | 0-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.42) 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.32% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.09% Total : 26.97% |
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