SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.88%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (13.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Danubio |
35.09% ( 0.27) | 30.71% ( -0.21) | 34.19% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.6) | 67.27% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.55% ( 0.4) | 85.45% ( -0.4) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( 0.52) | 36.2% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( 0.53) | 72.99% ( -0.53) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.16% ( 0.28) | 36.84% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.37% ( 0.28) | 73.62% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.71% | 0-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 34.18% |
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