Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Raith Rovers in this match.
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