SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
39.62% ( -0) | 25.8% | 34.57% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( 0.01) | 49.5% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( 0.01) | 71.53% ( -0) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 0) | 24.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( 0) | 59.11% ( 0) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.01) | 27.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% ( 0.01) | 62.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.57% |
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