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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
45.18% ( 0.23) | 24.25% ( 0.03) | 30.58% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.17% ( -0.28) | 43.83% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -0.27) | 66.22% ( 0.28) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( -0.03) | 51.48% ( 0.04) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( -0.3) | 27.21% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( -0.4) | 62.63% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.58% |
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