Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
Result | ||
Rampla Juniors | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
35.34% ( 0.09) | 28.11% ( 0.03) | 36.55% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.45% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.32% ( -0.11) | 58.68% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.78% ( -0.09) | 79.22% ( 0.08) |
Rampla Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% ( -0) | 31.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% | 67.89% ( -0.01) |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( -0.13) | 30.73% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% ( -0.15) | 66.99% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Rampla Juniors | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.33% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.55% |
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