SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Reading had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.46%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
36.07% ( 0.45) | 23.13% ( 0.15) | 40.8% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 64.64% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.67) | 36.69% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( -0.73) | 58.85% ( 0.73) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.07) | 20.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( -0.12) | 53.28% ( 0.12) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( -0.53) | 18.5% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.28% ( -0.91) | 49.72% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.68% Total : 40.8% |
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