SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Burgos |
51.17% ( -0.46) | 26.67% ( 0.1) | 22.15% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.04) | 59.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( -0.03) | 79.66% ( 0.03) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -0.22) | 23.32% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( -0.32) | 57.27% ( 0.32) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( 0.34) | 42.42% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( 0.29) | 78.8% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.15% |
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