SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Greece | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 4 | -12 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Greece | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Netherlands |
43.69% ( -0.06) | 25.99% ( -0.01) | 30.32% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( 0.07) | 51.5% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( 0.06) | 73.3% ( -0.06) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0) | 23.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( 0) | 57.45% ( -0) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.09) | 31.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( 0.1) | 67.59% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.69% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.32% |
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