SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
37.65% ( -0.08) | 26.31% ( 0.02) | 36.04% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.07) | 51.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( -0.06) | 73.31% ( 0.06) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( -0.08) | 26.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( -0.11) | 61.83% ( 0.11) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.01) | 27.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( 0.01) | 63.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.04% |
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